Need to Halt Deforestation, Restore Degraded Areas to Preserve Carbon Storage Function
Diplomat Foreign Desk
The Amazon is the world’s most critical buffer against climate change, storing between 150 and 200 billion tonnes of carbon. However, its existence is currently threatened by a phenomenon known as “Savannization.”
Recent research indicates that by 2050, up to 47% of the Amazon will face unprecedented stressors. If we cross a threshold of 20–25% total deforestation (we are currently near 17-20%), the forest will lose its ability to create its own rain. At that point, the lush canopy will collapse, replaced by dry, fire-prone grasslands (savanna).
The forest operates like a giant “hydrological engine” – Trees release moisture through evapotranspiration, which creates clouds that rain back down on the forest: Deforestation breaks this cycle, less rain means more trees die, dying trees release stored $CO_2$ and more $CO_2$ raises temperatures, leading to more drought.
Challenges Ahead: The Road to Resilience
The struggle to preserve the Amazon and stabilize the global climate faces three primary hurdles: Challenge Impact Potential Solution
Agricultural expansion cattle ranching and soy production drive 80% of deforestation and transition to regenerative agriculture and strict enforcement of the “Forest Code”.
Extreme Climate Events: The climate change has made Amazonian droughts 30 times more likely. There is a global transition away from fossil fuels to cap warming at 1.5°C.
Economic Disparity: Local communities often rely on logging for survival. Nature – based economies that pay for “standing forest” services (Carbon Credits).
The Paradox of Growth: Interestingly, recent 2025 studies show that some Amazonian trees are actually growing larger due to “Carbon Fertilization” (higher $CO_2$ levels). However, this growth is a double – edged sword i.e., larger canopy trees are thriving while smaller, diverse undergrowth species die out, leading to a “homogenized” forest that is less resilient to disease and fire.
“Once we pass the tipping point, we lose control of how the system behaves. It is no longer about human policy; it is about planetary physics.” – Bernardo Flores, Lead Researcher at Federal University of Santa Catarina.
The story of the Amazon is the story of us. If the “Lungs of the Planet” fail, the global fever will become an irreversible permanent state.
2024 Hottest Year in Human History
The year 2024 was recorded as the hottest in human history with global temperatures reaching $ 1.60$°C above pre -industrial levels. This is more than a statistic; it is the engine behind a series of global challenges.
Hydrological Chaos: In the Northern Hemisphere, 2025 has seen unprecedented delays in rainfall, while the South experiences a transition from water – rich systems to regimes of permanent scarcity.
Higher temperatures, coupled with human – caused ignition and dry biomass (fuel), have created a “fire triangle” that is no longer seasonal.
Meanwhile, wildfires are now moving into deep, wet sections of forests that were historically too damp to burn.
Economic turns into “Agro-Suicide”: On a global scale, the destruction of ecosystems for short – term agricultural gain is being recognized as “agro-suicide.”
The loss of forests disrupts the very rainfall patterns that the agricultural industry relies on, leading to a projected $40$ billion in annual losses from drought in regions like Europe alone.DD
